he was able to flip it whether it is the same reasons of virginia and kcolorado and nevaa and in the west, but siit is improving the white collar liberals, but this is the one closest to the bubble. 45% of the vote is white evangelical crihristians and a tough audience for the democrats. this is a state if he had any retrogression of the numbers it would be hard for him to hold. this is a tough place for him to win, but he doesn't have to win it. as you get deeper into the list, colorado and nevada, they are tougher states that he needs. >> and that is what james carville said, it is not spin, but it is true? >> true. and what is within the first 270 electoral college votes for ooet side, and by the time president obama has won the other states and passed the 270 mark, and this is the 300-range for the electoral college votes, but the same facer tors hurting him here are challenging in other places that are important to him for example colorado. what you have is a further decline among the blue collar white voters who are a tough audience and moving further away from him than they di